Floyd,
Kentucky


Nov 15, "state"
Population
COVID-positive
All infections (model)
Contagious (model)
Immune (model)
Fatalities
Fatality rate (model)
Nov 15
35,589
1,216
6,961
2.7593%
16.7982%
7
0.1006%
Dec 31, predictions
COVID-positive
All infections
Contagious
Immune
Fatalities
Dec 31
1,622
8,051
0.1124%
22.5098%
9

Event/Party Threat Level:
Going to a party? Check the threat level for your chances to get COVID. For staying 1 hour at a party with 20 people, the threat is:

NO MASKS:

YES MASKS:

: low, <5% : med, 5-15%
: risky, 15-25% : danger, >25%
(For other party sizes and durations, scroll down to our COVID-Party-Planner.)


COVID-Party-Planner: chances of COVID depending on party-size and duration.


Assumptions: All members at the party are independent random draws from the county population. The mingling model is random shifts of 4 people per 10 minutes. 10 minutes of mingling with an infected person suffice to transmit infection.