Norfolk,
Massachusetts


Nov 27, "state"
Population
COVID-positive
All infections (model)
Contagious (model)
Immune (model)
Fatalities
Fatality rate (model)
Nov 27
706,775
15,833
175,006
8.3275%
16.4337%
1,176
0.672%
Dec 31, predictions
COVID-positive
All infections
Contagious
Immune
Fatalities
Dec 31
56,398
425,705
6.9507%
53.2813%
2,861

Event/Party Threat Level:
Going to a party? Check the threat level for your chances to get COVID. For staying 1 hour at a party with 20 people, the threat is:

NO MASKS:

YES MASKS:

: low, <5% : med, 5-15%
: risky, 15-25% : danger, >25%
(For other party sizes and durations, scroll down to our COVID-Party-Planner.)


COVID-Party-Planner: chances of COVID depending on party-size and duration.


Assumptions: All members at the party are independent random draws from the county population. The mingling model is random shifts of 4 people per 10 minutes. 10 minutes of mingling with an infected person suffice to transmit infection.