Nov 28, "state"
Population
COVID-positive
All infections (model)
Contagious (model)
Immune (model)
Fatalities
Fatality rate (model)
Nov 28
45,381
1,768
8,492
0.2248%
18.4875%
57
0.6712%
Dec 31, predictions
COVID-positive
All infections
Contagious
Immune
Fatalities
Dec 31
1,822
8,714
0.1146%
19.0873%
59
Event/Party Threat Level: Going to a party? Check the threat level for your chances to get COVID. For staying 1 hour at a party with 20 people, the threat is:
NO MASKS:
YES MASKS:
: low, <5%
: med, 5-15%
: risky, 15-25%
: danger, >25%
(For other party sizes and durations, scroll down to our COVID-Party-Planner.)
COVID-Party-Planner: chances of COVID depending on party-size and duration.
Assumptions: All members at the party are independent random draws from the county population. The mingling model is random shifts of 4 people per 10 minutes. 10 minutes of mingling with an infected person suffice to transmit infection.