Richmond,
New York


Nov 28, "state"
Population
COVID-positive
All infections (model)
Contagious (model)
Immune (model)
Fatalities
Fatality rate (model)
Nov 28
468,730
22,404
115,724
0.4118%
24.2769%
1,128
0.9747%
Dec 31, predictions
COVID-positive
All infections
Contagious
Immune
Fatalities
Dec 31
22,976
116,674
0.0038%
24.8877%
1,138

Event/Party Threat Level:
Going to a party? Check the threat level for your chances to get COVID. For staying 1 hour at a party with 20 people, the threat is:

NO MASKS:

YES MASKS:

: low, <5% : med, 5-15%
: risky, 15-25% : danger, >25%
(For other party sizes and durations, scroll down to our COVID-Party-Planner.)


COVID-Party-Planner: chances of COVID depending on party-size and duration.


Assumptions: All members at the party are independent random draws from the county population. The mingling model is random shifts of 4 people per 10 minutes. 10 minutes of mingling with an infected person suffice to transmit infection.