Jerome,
Idaho


Nov 28, "state"
Population
COVID-positive
All infections (model)
Contagious (model)
Immune (model)
Fatalities
Fatality rate (model)
Nov 28
24,412
1,876
9,263
1.3395%
36.6036%
12
0.1296%
Dec 31, predictions
COVID-positive
All infections
Contagious
Immune
Fatalities
Dec 31
2,013
9,801
0.4137%
39.7346%
13

Event/Party Threat Level:
Going to a party? Check the threat level for your chances to get COVID. For staying 1 hour at a party with 20 people, the threat is:

NO MASKS:

YES MASKS:

: low, <5% : med, 5-15%
: risky, 15-25% : danger, >25%
(For other party sizes and durations, scroll down to our COVID-Party-Planner.)


COVID-Party-Planner: chances of COVID depending on party-size and duration.


Assumptions: All members at the party are independent random draws from the county population. The mingling model is random shifts of 4 people per 10 minutes. 10 minutes of mingling with an infected person suffice to transmit infection.